About the smile, i also like it. I am writing a lot about Judaism and it is all on a way of smile, smiling life, smiling faith.
About the probability, what i understood from you yesterday is that if i am trying to trade MA crossover and get losses, i should take exactly the same setup on opposite direction, i.e. sell instead of buy and vice versa. I didn't check if it is true, but if i remember well your tutorial goes this way.